Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 13Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyj Stadion Astrakhan'gazprom, Astrakhan'
The Footlab model makes Volgar Astrakhan the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Novosibirsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Volgar Astrakhan (1,795) and Novosibirsk (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volgar Astrakhan have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Novosibirsk have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(away) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(home) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | KDV(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 1-3 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Volgar Astrakhan win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Novosibirsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novosibirsk 2-2 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 Novosibirsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Novosibirsk 2-2 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Novosibirsk 0-1 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 Novosibirsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Volgar Astrakhan 1-0 Novosibirsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Novosibirsk vs Volgar Astrakhan on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volgar Astrakhan score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Novosibirsk score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volgar Astrakhan | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Novosibirsk | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volgar Astrakhan sit 7th in Second League A - Division A Gold (6 points from 5 matches) and Novosibirsk sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Novosibirsk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Volgar Astrakhan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk?
- The Footlab model makes Volgar Astrakhan the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Novosibirsk.
- Where and when is Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk played?
- Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk is played on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyj Stadion Astrakhan'gazprom, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.