Match

Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda: prediction and stats

CupRegions Path - 3rd RoundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Malaya Sportivnaya Arena, St. Petersburg

Dinamo St. PetersburgDinamo Vologda

The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Vologda. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Dinamo St. Petersburg (1,806) and Dinamo Vologda (1,716).

Dinamo St. Petersburg win56 %
Draw26 %
Dinamo Vologda win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo St. Petersburg have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Dinamo Vologda have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dinamo St. Petersburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cherepovets(home)0-0Second League - Group 2
Aug 16, 2026Spartak Moscow 2(away)0-0Second League - Group 2
Aug 11, 2026FC 10(home)2-1Cup
Aug 8, 2026Tver(home)3-2Second League - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Iskra Smolensk(away)1-1Second League - Group 2
Dinamo Vologda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Luki-Energiya(home)2-2Second League - Group 2
Aug 16, 2026Zvezda St. Petersburg(away)1-1Second League - Group 2
Aug 13, 2026Tver(home)2-0Cup
Aug 9, 2026Torpedo Vladimir(home)0-1Second League - Group 2
Jul 5, 2026Yenisey II(home)4-0Second League - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Dinamo St. Petersburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Vologda win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2026Dinamo St. Petersburg 1-0 Dinamo VologdaSecond League - Group 2
Aug 20, 2025Dinamo Vologda 1-0 Dinamo St. PetersburgCup
Sep 22, 2024Dinamo Vologda 1-2 Dinamo St. PetersburgSecond League - Group 2
Jun 8, 2024Dinamo St. Petersburg 3-1 Dinamo VologdaSecond League - Group 2
Oct 22, 2023Dinamo Vologda 0-2 Dinamo St. PetersburgSecond League - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dinamo St. Petersburg score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Vologda score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dinamo St. Petersburg1.50.878/156/15
Dinamo Vologda1.31.238/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Vologda.
Where and when is Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda played?
Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Malaya Sportivnaya Arena, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dinamo St. Petersburg and Dinamo Vologda

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