Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda: prediction and stats
CupRegions Path - 3rd RoundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Malaya Sportivnaya Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Vologda. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Dinamo St. Petersburg (1,806) and Dinamo Vologda (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo St. Petersburg have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Dinamo Vologda have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherepovets(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FC 10(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tver(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tver(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Dinamo St. Petersburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Vologda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 1-0 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Dinamo Vologda 1-0 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Cup |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Dinamo Vologda 1-2 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 3-1 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Dinamo Vologda 0-2 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo St. Petersburg score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Vologda score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo St. Petersburg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Dinamo Vologda | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Vologda.
- Where and when is Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda played?
- Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Malaya Sportivnaya Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026Avangard Kursk1-2Kaluga
- Aug 25, 2026Ryazan1-1FK Spartak Tambov
- Aug 25, 2026Torpedo Vladimir0-0Znamya Noginsk
- Aug 25, 2026Dinamo Kirov4-4Amkar
- Aug 26, 2026Nosta1-1FK Sokol Saratov
- Aug 26, 2026KDV2-4Chertanovo Moscow
- Aug 26, 2026Torpedo Miass0-1Volna Nizhegorodskaya
- Aug 26, 2026Dinamo Stavropol1-0Astrakhan