Dinamo Stavropol vs Astrakhan: prediction and stats
CupRegions Path - 3rd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Stavropol'
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Stavropol the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Astrakhan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Stavropol vs Astrakhan?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Dinamo Stavropol (1,744) and Astrakhan (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Stavropol have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Astrakhan have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(home) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amkar(away) | 1-5 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tyumen(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Irtysh Omsk(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Dinamo Stavropol win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Astrakhan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2025 | Dinamo Stavropol 1-1 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Astrakhan 1-1 Dinamo Stavropol | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Astrakhan 0-2 Dinamo Stavropol | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Dinamo Stavropol 2-1 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Stavropol vs Astrakhan on Jun 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Stavropol score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Astrakhan score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Stavropol | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Astrakhan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Stavropol vs Astrakhan?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Stavropol the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Astrakhan.
- Where and when is Dinamo Stavropol vs Astrakhan played?
- Dinamo Stavropol vs Astrakhan is played on August 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.