KDV vs Chertanovo Moscow: prediction and stats
CupRegions Path - 3rd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes KDV the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Chertanovo Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KDV vs Chertanovo Moscow?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate KDV (1,782) and Chertanovo Moscow (1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KDV have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Chertanovo Moscow have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Izhevsk(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Novosibirsk(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Krylya Sovetov II(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orenburg II(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tver(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Murom(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
KDV score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chertanovo Moscow score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDV | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chertanovo Moscow | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KDV vs Chertanovo Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes KDV the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Chertanovo Moscow.
- Where and when is KDV vs Chertanovo Moscow played?
- KDV vs Chertanovo Moscow is played on August 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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