Druzhba vs Izberbash: prediction and stats
CupRegions Path - 3rd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba, Maykop
The Footlab model makes Druzhba the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Izberbash. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Druzhba vs Izberbash?
Druzhba starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,689 vs 1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Druzhba have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Izberbash have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 1-6 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Anzhi(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Druzhba win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Izberbash win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Izberbash 2-1 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Druzhba score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Izberbash score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Druzhba | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Izberbash | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Druzhba vs Izberbash?
- The Footlab model makes Druzhba the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Izberbash.
- Where and when is Druzhba vs Izberbash played?
- Druzhba vs Izberbash is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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