Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 19Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vitali Daraselias Sakhelobis Dinamos Sapekhburto Akademia, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Lokomotivi Tbilisi the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Tbilisi II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Dinamo Tbilisi II (1,313) and Lokomotivi Tbilisi (1,370).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Tbilisi II have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Lokomotivi Tbilisi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 5-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Iberia 2010(home) | 4-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(away) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 1-5 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skuri(away) | 4-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gonio(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Saburtalo II(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Guria(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Basa(away) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dinamo Tbilisi II win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Lokomotivi Tbilisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi II | Liga 3 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi 5-1 Dinamo Tbilisi II | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-3 Lokomotivi Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi 4-2 Dinamo Tbilisi II | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi II | David Kipiani Cup |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi II 0-1 Lokomotivi Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Tbilisi II score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotivi Tbilisi score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Tbilisi II sit 9th in Liga 3 (27 points from 18 matches) and Lokomotivi Tbilisi sit 10th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 27 |
| 10 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotivi Tbilisi the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Tbilisi II.
- Where and when is Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi played?
- Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi is played on August 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vitali Daraselias Sakhelobis Dinamos Sapekhburto Akademia, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.