Saburtalo II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Saburtalo II the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Dinamo Tbilisi II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saburtalo II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?
Saburtalo II starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,415 vs 1,313).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo Tbilisi II have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Guria(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 0-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Merani Martvili II(away) | 2-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 5-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Iberia 2010(home) | 4-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(away) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 1-5 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skuri(away) | 4-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Saburtalo II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Tbilisi II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II 0-1 Saburtalo II | Liga 3 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi II 2-0 Saburtalo II | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Saburtalo II 4-0 Dinamo Tbilisi II | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 9, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-2 Saburtalo II | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Saburtalo II 3-1 Dinamo Tbilisi II | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Saburtalo II on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saburtalo II score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Tbilisi II score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo II | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saburtalo II sit 3rd in Liga 3 (35 points from 18 matches) and Dinamo Tbilisi II sit 9th (27 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo II | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 35 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saburtalo II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?
- The Footlab model makes Saburtalo II the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Dinamo Tbilisi II.
- Where and when is Saburtalo II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II played?
- Saburtalo II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II is played on September 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.