Dinamo Vologda vs Baltika II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Vologda
The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Dinamo Vologda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Vologda vs Baltika II?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Dinamo Vologda (1,716) and Baltika II (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Vologda have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Baltika II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tver(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Murom(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 6-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Dinamo Vologda win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Baltika II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Baltika II 1-0 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Dinamo Vologda 1-4 Baltika II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Baltika II 0-2 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Baltika II vs Dinamo Vologda on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Vologda score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika II score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Vologda | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Baltika II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Vologda sit 8th in Second League - Group 2 (14 points from 11 matches) and Baltika II sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Baltika II | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Baltika II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 22 |
| 8 | Dinamo Vologda | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Dinamo Vologda | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Vologda vs Baltika II?
- The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Dinamo Vologda.
- Where and when is Dinamo Vologda vs Baltika II played?
- Dinamo Vologda vs Baltika II is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.