Murom vs Cherepovets: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Park 50, Murom
The Footlab AI model makes Murom the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Cherepovets. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murom vs Cherepovets?
Murom starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,607).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murom vs Cherepovets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murom
4-4-2- 88R. Bolov
- 8S. Saaduev
- 22F. Dvoretskov
- 21E. Teterlev
- 8M. Sedov
- 42Y. Kirillov
- 55Alikadi Saidov
- 4S. Adeniyi
- 77E. Gubiev
- 17I. Nasyrov
- 1E. Sedov
Cherepovets
4-3-3- 99I. Antsiferov
- 2M. Karamyshev
- 20E. Snegirov
- 77M. Andreev
- 11K. Kulkov
- 47D. Serebryakov
- 18V. Maklasov
- 15D. Berezov
- 27D. Gadzhiev
- 14R. Yamlikhanov
- 1A. Pyrkin
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murom have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Cherepovets have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Baltika II(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Murom win, 0 draws, 0 Cherepovets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Cherepovets 0-2 Murom | Second League - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Murom score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cherepovets score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murom | 1.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Cherepovets | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Murom sit 1st in Second League - Group 2 (44 points from 21 matches) and Cherepovets sit 9th (24 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murom | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 17 | 44 |
| 9 | Cherepovets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 24 |
A question about Murom vs Cherepovets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murom vs Cherepovets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Murom the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Cherepovets.
- Where and when is Murom vs Cherepovets played?
- Murom vs Cherepovets is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Park 50, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.