Iskra Smolensk vs Spartak Moscow 2: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow 2 the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Iskra Smolensk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Spartak Moscow 2?
Spartak Moscow 2 starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,536).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iskra Smolensk have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Spartak Moscow 2 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cherepovets(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Iskra Smolensk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Spartak Moscow 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2 1-1 Iskra Smolensk | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Moscow 2 vs Iskra Smolensk on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iskra Smolensk score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Moscow 2 score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iskra Smolensk | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Spartak Moscow 2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iskra Smolensk sit 13th in Second League - Group 2 (10 points from 12 matches) and Spartak Moscow 2 sit 10th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 13 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 16 |
| 13 | Iskra Smolensk | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Iskra Smolensk | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iskra Smolensk vs Spartak Moscow 2?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow 2 the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Iskra Smolensk.
- Where and when is Iskra Smolensk vs Spartak Moscow 2 played?
- Iskra Smolensk vs Spartak Moscow 2 is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.