Torpedo Vladimir vs Chertanovo Moscow: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Torpedo, Vladimir
The Footlab model makes Chertanovo Moscow the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Torpedo Vladimir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Vladimir vs Chertanovo Moscow?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Torpedo Vladimir (1,682) and Chertanovo Moscow (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Vladimir have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Chertanovo Moscow have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Znamya Noginsk(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Strogino(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Baltika II(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | KDV(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tver(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Murom(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torpedo Vladimir win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chertanovo Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow 2-1 Torpedo Vladimir | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Torpedo Vladimir 1-1 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Chertanovo Moscow 1-2 Torpedo Vladimir | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Chertanovo Moscow 2-0 Torpedo Vladimir | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Torpedo Vladimir 1-2 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Chertanovo Moscow 0-1 Torpedo Vladimir | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chertanovo Moscow vs Torpedo Vladimir on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Vladimir score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chertanovo Moscow score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Vladimir | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Chertanovo Moscow | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Vladimir sit 7th in Second League - Group 2 (17 points from 11 matches) and Chertanovo Moscow sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chertanovo Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Torpedo Vladimir | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | Torpedo Vladimir | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Vladimir vs Chertanovo Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Chertanovo Moscow the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Torpedo Vladimir.
- Where and when is Torpedo Vladimir vs Chertanovo Moscow played?
- Torpedo Vladimir vs Chertanovo Moscow is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Torpedo, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.