Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun: result 3-2 and analysis
UEFA Champions League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Full time
What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun?
Dinamo Zagreb won 3-2 on July 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′B. LabeauFC Thun
- 22′M. BürkiFC Thun
- 74′D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb
- 78′L. KačavendaDinamo Zagreb
- 112′M. ValinčićDinamo Zagreb
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Dinamo Zagreb win at 78%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0 — actual score: 3-2.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; FC Thun have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| May 23, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 0-0 | HNL |
| May 17, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 4-1 | HNL |
| May 13, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Luzern(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Dinamo Zagreb win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Thun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Zagreb score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 3.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 21, 2026Saburtalo0-2Slovan Bratislava
- Jul 21, 2026Mjallby AIF3-0Lincoln Red Imps FC
- Jul 21, 2026Sabah FA1-0KuPS
- Jul 21, 2026Ararat-Armenia2-0Shamrock Rovers
- Jul 21, 2026Aarhus1-4Lech Poznan
- Jul 21, 2026FC Thun1-1Dinamo Zagreb
- Jul 21, 2026Fenerbahçe1-0Gornik Zabrze
- Jul 21, 2026Sturm Graz4-0Heart Of Midlothian