Dobrudzha vs Nesebar: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Druzhba, Dobrich
The Footlab model makes Dobrudzha the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dobrudzha vs Nesebar?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Dobrudzha (1,642) and Nesebar (1,698).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dobrudzha have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Marek(away) | 2-4 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 5-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 7-0 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Montana(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dobrudzha win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nesebar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nesebar 2-0 Dobrudzha | Second League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Nesebar 1-1 Dobrudzha | Second League |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Dobrudzha 6-1 Nesebar | Second League |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Nesebar 1-3 Dobrudzha | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Nesebar 3-1 Dobrudzha | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Dobrudzha 1-0 Nesebar | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dobrudzha score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dobrudzha | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nesebar | 3.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dobrudzha sit 17th in Second League (4 points from 5 matches) and Nesebar sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nesebar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dobrudzha vs Nesebar?
- The Footlab model makes Dobrudzha the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Nesebar.
- Where and when is Dobrudzha vs Nesebar played?
- Dobrudzha vs Nesebar is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Druzhba, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsMarek
- Feb 20, 2027Ludogorets IIvsBeroe
- Feb 20, 2027Spartak PlevenvsRilski Sportist
- Feb 20, 2027MontanavsYantra 2019
- Feb 20, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsSportist Svoge
- Feb 20, 2027Hebar 1918vsCSKA Sofia II
- Feb 20, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsVihren
- Feb 20, 2027FratriavsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa