Match

Nesebar vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

NesebarSportist Svoge

The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nesebar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Sportist Svoge?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,648 vs 1,513).

55%25%20%
Nesebar winDrawSportist Svoge win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nesebar vs Sportist Svoge

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  3. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 10V. Dotsev
  3. 19M. Zegai
  1. 5P. Dimov
  2. 14Dimitar Balinov
  3. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 25Martin Sheytanov

Sportist Svoge

4-3-3
  1. 73K. Monteiro
  2. 5M. Boyanov
  3. 10B. Marinov
  1. 7A. Popov
  2. 15V. Karchev
  3. 14C. Nzila
  1. 8K. Ivanov
  2. 20P. Ivanov
  3. 19H. Petrov
  4. 23V. Dobrev
  1. 33Y. Batola

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ludogorets II(away)0-2Second League
Oct 31, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)1-2Second League
Oct 23, 2026Hebar 1918(away)1-2Second League
Oct 18, 2026CSKA Sofia(home)0-2Cup
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Sportist Svoge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Fratria(away)2-6Second League
Nov 2, 2026Ludogorets II(home)1-1Second League
Oct 23, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)1-1Second League
Oct 10, 2026Hebar 1918(home)1-3Second League
Oct 4, 2026Neftochimic Burgas(away)1-1Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Nesebar wins, 1 draw, 0 Sportist Svoge wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Sportist Svoge 0-1 NesebarSecond League
Mar 1, 2025Sportist Svoge 0-0 NesebarSecond League
Aug 18, 2024Nesebar 2-1 Sportist SvogeSecond League

Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Nesebar on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nesebar1.51.247/156/15
Sportist Svoge0.71.347/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 14th in Second League (18 points from 15 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (12 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Nesebar15537222318
16Sportist Svoge15267122112

A question about Nesebar vs Sportist Svoge?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Sportist Svoge?
The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Sportist Svoge.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Sportist Svoge played?
Nesebar vs Sportist Svoge is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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