Match

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo

Etar Veliko TarnovoMarek

The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Marek?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,651) and Marek (1,644).

Etar Veliko Tarnovo win53 %
Draw25 %
Marek win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etar Veliko Tarnovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-2Second League
Aug 15, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 3, 2026Yantra 2019(home)2-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Nesebar(away)5-1Second League
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-0 MarekSecond League
May 23, 2026Marek 1-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League
Nov 23, 2025Etar Veliko Tarnovo 4-1 MarekSecond League
Mar 16, 2025Marek 1-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League
Sep 2, 2024Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-2 MarekSecond League
Mar 9, 2022Marek 0-1 Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League

Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Marek on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Etar Veliko Tarnovo1.71.739/158/15
Marek1.00.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Etar Veliko Tarnovo531110510
11Marek5203666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Marek?
The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Marek.
Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Marek played?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Marek is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Marek

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