Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Sportist Svoge?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,530) and Sportist Svoge (1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sportist Svoge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 1-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| May 11, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Sportist Svoge 0-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 Sportist Svoge | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Sportist Svoge?
- The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Sportist Svoge played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Sportist Svoge is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsMarek
- Feb 20, 2027Ludogorets IIvsBeroe
- Feb 20, 2027Spartak PlevenvsRilski Sportist
- Feb 20, 2027MontanavsYantra 2019
- Feb 20, 2027DobrudzhavsNesebar
- Feb 20, 2027Hebar 1918vsCSKA Sofia II
- Feb 20, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsVihren
- Feb 20, 2027FratriavsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa