Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jesús Navas, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estepona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona?
Estepona starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla Atletico
4-3-3- 28M. Castillo
- 15J. Pedraza
- 26B. Sow
- 8Eduardo Altozano Agudo
- 41Jesus Cruz
- 27N. Guillen
- 20Valentino Fattore
- 19S. Martinez
- 24A. Espineira
- 2J. Moreno
- 25L. Luchino
Estepona
4-3-3- 20Daniel Sancho
- 10Ale Conteras
- 16D. Ballarin
- 15Javi Duarte
- 6J. Aguilera
- 17S. Baradji
- 26A. Gonzalez
- 3A. Candelas
- 5Titi Fernández
- 22José Caro
- 1J. Ruiz
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla Atletico have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Estepona have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Badajoz(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sevilla Atletico wins, 0 draws, 0 Estepona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Sevilla Atletico 1-0 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Estepona 0-4 Sevilla Atletico | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla Atletico score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla Atletico | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Estepona | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla Atletico sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (13 points from 9 matches) and Estepona sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sevilla Atletico | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | Estepona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Sevilla Atletico.
- Where and when is Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona played?
- Sevilla Atletico vs Estepona is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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