Badajoz vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Atlético Paso?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,867).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Atlético Paso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Atlético Paso
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Paso lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Paso have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Badajoz wins, 0 draws, 2 Atlético Paso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Badajoz 0-1 Atlético Paso | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Atlético Paso 1-0 Badajoz | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Badajoz vs Atlético Paso on Jan 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Paso | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Badajoz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
A question about Badajoz vs Atlético Paso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Atlético Paso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Atlético Paso.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Atlético Paso played?
- Badajoz vs Atlético Paso is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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