Don Benito vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito
The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Don Benito vs Tamaraceite?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,912) and Tamaraceite (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Diocesano(home) | 8-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jerez(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | San Fernando CD(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Don Benito win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tamaraceite win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2022 | Tamaraceite 0-0 Don Benito | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Don Benito 2-0 Tamaraceite | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tamaraceite vs Don Benito on May 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Benito | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tamaraceite | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Don Benito | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 51 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Tamaraceite?
- The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tamaraceite.
- Where and when is Don Benito vs Tamaraceite played?
- Don Benito vs Tamaraceite is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026Sevilla AtleticovsXerez
- Dec 13, 2026MarbellavsCiudad de Lucena
- Dec 13, 2026AntonianovsLas Palmas II
- Dec 13, 2026Recreativo HuelvavsTenerife II
- Dec 13, 2026SanluqueñovsEstepona
- Dec 13, 2026Real Betis IIvsAtlético Paso
- Dec 13, 2026Mijas Las LagunasvsLinares Deportivo
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético CentralvsBadajoz