Match

Sanluqueño vs Estepona: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda

SanluqueñoEstepona

The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estepona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,709 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanluqueño vs Estepona?

Estepona starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,768).

35%30%35%
Sanluqueño winDrawEstepona win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sanluqueño vs Estepona

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sanluqueño

Not enough data to predict the Sanluqueño lineup.

Estepona

4-3-3
  1. 20Daniel Sancho
  2. 10Ale Conteras
  3. 16D. Ballarin
  1. 15Javi Duarte
  2. 6J. Aguilera
  3. 17S. Baradji
  1. 26A. Gonzalez
  2. 3A. Candelas
  3. 5Titi Fernández
  4. 22José Caro
  1. 1J. Ruiz

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Estepona have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanluqueño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 25, 2026Las Palmas II(home)4-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Badajoz(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Recreativo Huelva(home)3-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Mijas Las Lagunas(home)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Estepona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Antoniano(away)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 24, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(home)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Marbella(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Central(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 3, 2026Don Benito(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Sanluqueño score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sanluqueño1.11.628/158/15
Estepona1.71.5312/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanluqueño sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 9 matches) and Estepona sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Estepona9333131512
13Sanluqueño9243151410

A question about Sanluqueño vs Estepona?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Estepona?
The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Sanluqueño.
Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Estepona played?
Sanluqueño vs Estepona is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sanluqueño and Estepona

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