Sevilla Atletico vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jesús Navas, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla Atletico the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla Atletico wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Xerez?
On Elo ratings, Sevilla Atletico has 1,813 points and Xerez 1,932.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla Atletico vs Xerez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla Atletico
4-3-3- 28M. Castillo
- 15J. Pedraza
- 26B. Sow
- 22L. Dasilva
- 8Eduardo Altozano Agudo
- 41Jesus Cruz
- 20Valentino Fattore
- 19S. Martinez
- 24A. Espineira
- 2J. Moreno
- 25L. Luchino
Xerez
Not enough data to predict the Xerez lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla Atletico have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Xerez have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Badajoz(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Central(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sevilla Atletico wins, 0 draws, 1 Xerez win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2025 | Xerez 2-1 Sevilla Atletico | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico on Aug 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla Atletico score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla Atletico | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Xerez | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla Atletico sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (12 points from 8 matches) and Xerez sit 13th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sevilla Atletico | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Xerez | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Sevilla Atletico vs Xerez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla Atletico vs Xerez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla Atletico the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Sevilla Atletico vs Xerez played?
- Sevilla Atletico vs Xerez is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026Don BenitovsTamaraceite
- Dec 13, 2026MarbellavsCiudad de Lucena
- Dec 13, 2026AntonianovsLas Palmas II
- Dec 13, 2026Recreativo HuelvavsTenerife II
- Dec 13, 2026SanluqueñovsEstepona
- Dec 13, 2026Real Betis IIvsAtlético Paso
- Dec 13, 2026Mijas Las LagunasvsLinares Deportivo
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético CentralvsBadajoz