Doncaster vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Doncaster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doncaster vs Plymouth?
Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doncaster have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Plymouth have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Doncaster win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Plymouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Plymouth 2-1 Doncaster | League One |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Doncaster 1-5 Plymouth | League One |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Doncaster 1-3 Plymouth | League One |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Plymouth 2-1 Doncaster | League One |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Doncaster 2-1 Plymouth | League One |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Plymouth 2-1 Doncaster | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Doncaster score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Plymouth | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Doncaster sit 20th in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doncaster vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Doncaster.
- Where and when is Doncaster vs Plymouth played?
- Doncaster vs Plymouth is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Eco-Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.