Wigan vs Stockport County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)DW Stadium, Wigan
The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Wigan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigan vs Stockport County?
Stockport County starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigan have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stockport County have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 6-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wigan win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Stockport County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Stockport County 4-2 Wigan | League One |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Stockport County 1-1 Wigan | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Wigan 1-1 Stockport County | League One |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Wigan 1-0 Stockport County | League Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Wigan 0-2 Stockport County | League One |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Stockport County 0-0 Wigan | League One |
Last archived meeting: Stockport County vs Wigan on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigan score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stockport County score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Stockport County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigan sit 24th in League One (0 points from 2 matches) and Stockport County sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigan vs Stockport County?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Wigan.
- Where and when is Wigan vs Stockport County played?
- Wigan vs Stockport County is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at DW Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.