Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
The Footlab model makes Peterborough the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Peterborough starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterborough have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | York(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Peterborough win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sheffield Wednesday win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday 5-1 Peterborough | League One |
| May 12, 2023 | Peterborough 4-0 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Peterborough | League One |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Peterborough 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Apr 27, 2013 | Peterborough 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Peterborough | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Wednesday vs Peterborough on May 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Peterborough score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterborough sit 13th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab model makes Peterborough the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Weston Homes Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.