Dongen vs Noordwijk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Biezen, Dongen
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Dongen. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dongen vs Noordwijk?
Noordwijk starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,629).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dongen vs Noordwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dongen
4-3-3- 17M. van Bree
- 15A. Sesay
- 11R. Siemerink
- 10F. Kamaçi
- 8T. Avontuur
- 4T. Martens
- 6L. Hultermans
- 14S. Spijkers
- 12J. Gerrits
- 20P. Scheerlinck
- 22S. Heijstee
Noordwijk
4-3-3- 31E. Wendt
- 11V. Tjin-Asjoe
- 18R. Marbus
- 3D. Reinders
- 8B. Franken
- 19D. Bakker
- 37K. Groot
- 20Neto
- 5J. Strooker
- 22T. Zethof
- 44J. Roggeveen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Noordwijk have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Frisia(home) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dongen score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Noordwijk score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Noordwijk | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dongen sit 8th in Derde Divisie (13 points from 9 matches) and Noordwijk sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
A question about Dongen vs Noordwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dongen vs Noordwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Dongen.
- Where and when is Dongen vs Noordwijk played?
- Dongen vs Noordwijk is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Biezen, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.