Dongen vs Vvsb: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Biezen, Dongen
The Footlab model makes Dongen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Vvsb. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dongen vs Vvsb?
Vvsb starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongen have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Vvsb have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | EVV(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Heerjansdam(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Heerjansdam(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 30, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dongen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vvsb win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Dongen 3-5 Vvsb | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Vvsb 6-1 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Dongen score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vvsb score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongen | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Vvsb | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dongen sit 2nd in Derde Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and Vvsb sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dongen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Vvsb | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dongen vs Vvsb?
- The Footlab model makes Dongen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Vvsb.
- Where and when is Dongen vs Vvsb played?
- Dongen vs Vvsb is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Biezen, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.