Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,792) and Tonbridge Angels (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tonbridge Angels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Chesham United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Chesham United 0-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Apr 10, 2027Billericay TownvsTruro City
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