Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tonbridge Angels wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels?
On Elo ratings, Chesham United has 1,661 points and Tonbridge Angels 1,735.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Tonbridge Angels
Not enough data to predict the Tonbridge Angels lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 3-3 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chesham United win, 1 draw, 2 Tonbridge Angels wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Chesham United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Chesham United 0-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 21st in National League - South (11 points from 15 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 10th (24 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 24 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 11 |
A question about Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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