Truro City vs AFC Totton: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall
The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Truro City vs AFC Totton?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Truro City (1,752) and AFC Totton (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Totton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-6 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Truro City win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 AFC Totton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Truro City 1-1 AFC Totton | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | AFC Totton 1-1 Truro City | FA Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Truro City 2-3 AFC Totton | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Truro City vs AFC Totton on Oct 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro City | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| AFC Totton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and AFC Totton sit 11th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Truro City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Truro City vs AFC Totton?
- The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for AFC Totton.
- Where and when is Truro City vs AFC Totton played?
- Truro City vs AFC Totton is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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