Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,760) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Salisbury win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dorking Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 3-0 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Salisbury 0-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 4-2 Salisbury | FA Cup |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Salisbury 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | FA Cup |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Salisbury 0-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Dorking Wanderers 3-3 Salisbury | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salisbury | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salisbury sit 15th in National League - South (4 points from 3 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Salisbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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