Match

Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire

SalisburyDorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,760) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Salisbury win44 %
Draw24 %
Dorking Wanderers win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Salisbury win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Dorking Wanderers 3-0 SalisburyNational League - South
Nov 1, 2025Salisbury 0-2 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Sep 30, 2025Dorking Wanderers 4-2 SalisburyFA Cup
Sep 27, 2025Salisbury 1-1 Dorking WanderersFA Cup
Feb 8, 2025Salisbury 0-2 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Oct 19, 2024Dorking Wanderers 3-3 SalisburyNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Salisbury sit 15th in National League - South (4 points from 3 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Salisbury3111624
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Dorking Wanderers.
Where and when is Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers played?
Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Salisbury and Dorking Wanderers

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