Dorostol vs Fratria II: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Louis Eyer, Silistra
The Footlab model makes Fratria II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Dorostol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorostol vs Fratria II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Dorostol (1,285) and Fratria II (1,279).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorostol have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Fratria II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Olympic Varna(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-6 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-7 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Dorostol win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fratria II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Dorostol 0-1 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Fratria II 0-1 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Fratria II 1-3 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Dorostol 4-1 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Dorostol vs Fratria II on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorostol score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria II score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorostol | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Fratria II | 1.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorostol sit 16th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Fratria II sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fratria II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | Dorostol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorostol vs Fratria II?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Dorostol.
- Where and when is Dorostol vs Fratria II played?
- Dorostol vs Fratria II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Louis Eyer, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.