Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Devnya 2005 the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Ustrem Donchevo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Devnya 2005 (1,467) and Ustrem Donchevo (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Devnya 2005 have 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Ustrem Donchevo have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympic Varna(home) | 3-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Devnya 2005 score 1.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 1; Ustrem Donchevo score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devnya 2005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Ustrem Donchevo | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Devnya 2005 sit 6th in Third League - Northeast (3 points from 1 matches) and Ustrem Donchevo sit 11th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Devnya 2005 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Ustrem Donchevo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo?
- The Footlab model makes Devnya 2005 the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Ustrem Donchevo.
- Where and when is Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo played?
- Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.