Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 8Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion kv. Riltsi, Dobrich
The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Riltzi. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik?
Chernomorets Balchik is a heavy favourite: 1,702 Elo points against 1,280, a 422-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Riltzi
Not enough data to predict the Riltzi lineup.
Chernomorets Balchik
4-3-3- AAdjeil Neves
- AA. Nakov
- CCassiano Bouzon
- VVladislav Danchev Georgiev
- NN. Fonkeu
- SS. Mitev
- YY. Radev
- NN. Yankov
- II. Minchev
- PP. Ivanov
- GG. Grigorov
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riltzi have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Chernomorets Balchik have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cherno more II(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-6 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Riltzi wins, 1 draw, 5 Chernomorets Balchik wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Riltzi 0-7 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Chernomorets Balchik 2-1 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Riltzi 0-3 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Chernomorets Balchik 1-1 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Chernomorets Balchik 6-1 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Riltzi 1-5 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riltzi score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets Balchik score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riltzi | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Chernomorets Balchik | 2.0 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riltzi sit 10th in Third League - Northeast (10 points from 8 matches) and Chernomorets Balchik sit 5th (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Riltzi.
- Where and when is Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik played?
- Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik is played on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion kv. Riltsi, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.