Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Panayot Volov, Shumen
The Footlab model makes Volov Shumen the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Chernolomets 1919. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Volov Shumen (1,597) and Chernolomets 1919 (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volov Shumen have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Chernolomets 1919 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 7-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 9-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Volov Shumen(away) | 0-5 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Volov Shumen win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Chernolomets 1919 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Volov Shumen 5-0 Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Chernolomets 1919 2-1 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Chernolomets 1919 8-0 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Volov Shumen 1-2 Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Volov Shumen 1-5 Chernolomets 1919 | Cup |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Chernolomets 1919 3-1 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919 on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volov Shumen score 3.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chernolomets 1919 score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volov Shumen | 3.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Chernolomets 1919 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volov Shumen sit 8th in Third League - Northeast (1 points from 1 matches) and Chernolomets 1919 sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Volov Shumen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Chernolomets 1919 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919?
- The Footlab model makes Volov Shumen the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Chernolomets 1919.
- Where and when is Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919 played?
- Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919 is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Panayot Volov, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.