Match

Walton & Hersham vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Sports Ground, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey

Walton & HershamDover

The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Walton & Hersham vs Dover?

Walton & Hersham starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,722).

Walton & Hersham win57 %
Draw23 %
Dover win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walton & Hersham have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Walton & Hersham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chesham United(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)0-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-5National League - South
Jul 21, 2026Sutton Utd(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Walton & Hersham score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Walton & Hersham1.11.918/158/15
Dover1.21.827/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Walton & Hersham sit 24th in National League - South (0 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886
24Walton & Hersham40041120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Walton & Hersham vs Dover?
The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Dover.
Where and when is Walton & Hersham vs Dover played?
Walton & Hersham vs Dover is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Sports Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Walton & Hersham and Dover

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