Walton & Hersham vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Sports Ground, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walton & Hersham vs Dover?
Walton & Hersham starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walton & Hersham have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-5 | National League - South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Walton & Hersham score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton & Hersham | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dover | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walton & Hersham sit 24th in National League - South (0 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dover | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walton & Hersham vs Dover?
- The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Dover.
- Where and when is Walton & Hersham vs Dover played?
- Walton & Hersham vs Dover is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Sports Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Maidstone UtdvsMaidenhead
- Oct 17, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsWeston-super-Mare
- Oct 17, 2026Slough TownvsHorsham
- Oct 17, 2026Chelmsford CityvsFarnham Town
- Oct 17, 2026Truro CityvsBillericay Town
- Oct 17, 2026FarnboroughvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Folkestone InvictavsAFC Totton
- Oct 17, 2026SalisburyvsBraintree