Match

Dragones de Oaxaca vs Héroes de Zaci: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 23Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)

Dragones de OaxacaHéroes de Zaci

The Footlab model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Héroes de Zaci?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Dragones de Oaxaca (1,847) and Héroes de Zaci (1,810).

Dragones de Oaxaca win50 %
Draw25 %
Héroes de Zaci win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragones de Oaxaca have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Héroes de Zaci have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dragones de Oaxaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Poza Rica(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026Poza Rica(home)1-1Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 14, 2026Aguacateros CDU(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026Poza Rica(home)5-1Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026Acambaro(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie B
Héroes de Zaci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Montañeses(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Neza(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026Cañoneros Marina(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2026Celaya(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dragones de Oaxaca1.21.067/156/15
Héroes de Zaci1.22.335/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Héroes de Zaci2410212334634

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Héroes de Zaci?
The Footlab model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Héroes de Zaci.
Where and when is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Héroes de Zaci played?
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Héroes de Zaci is played on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dragones de Oaxaca and Héroes de Zaci

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