Where and when is Real Refineros vs FC Santiago played?

Real Refineros vs FC Santiago is played on March 6, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Refineros vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)

Real Refineros

FC Santiago

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Real Refineros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Refineros vs FC Santiago?

Real Refineros win35 %

Draw26 %

FC Santiago win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Santiago
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026	Zitacuaro(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	Ciervos(home)	5-0	Liga Premier Serie A

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43	21	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs FC Santiago?: The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Real Refineros.
Where and when is Real Refineros vs FC Santiago played?: Real Refineros vs FC Santiago is played on March 6, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.