Where and when is Ciervos vs Acatlan played?

Ciervos vs Acatlan is played on March 6, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ciervos vs Acatlan: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias

Ciervos

Acatlan

The Footlab model makes Ciervos the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciervos vs Acatlan?

Acatlan starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,569).

Ciervos win39 %

Draw24 %

Acatlan win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Acatlan have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciervos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Chilpancingo(home)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	FC Santiago(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	0-2	Liga Premier Serie A

Acatlan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Colima(home)	1-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Ensenada(away)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026	UA Zacatecas(home)	4-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Durango(home)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ciervos	0.9	1.7	2	10/15	8/15
Acatlan	1.7	2.7	2	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ciervos sit 13th in Liga Premier Serie A (18 points from 26 matches) and Acatlan sit 13th (21 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20	50	18
13	Acatlan	26	6	1	19	39	73	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs Acatlan?: The Footlab model makes Ciervos the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Ciervos vs Acatlan played?: Ciervos vs Acatlan is played on March 6, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.