Halcones Negros vs Guerreros: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 23Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halcones Negros vs Guerreros?
On Elo ratings, Halcones Negros has 1,869 points and Guerreros 1,807.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Halcones Negros vs Guerreros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Halcones Negros
Not enough data to predict the Halcones Negros lineup.
Guerreros
Not enough data to predict the Guerreros lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Halcones Negros have 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Guerreros have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 7-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 3-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Halcones Negros score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 7; Guerreros score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halcones Negros | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 3/7 | 6/7 |
| Guerreros | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halcones Negros sit 3rd in Liga Premier Serie A (14 points from 7 matches) and Guerreros sit 7th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Halcones Negros vs Guerreros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halcones Negros vs Guerreros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Guerreros.
- Where and when is Halcones Negros vs Guerreros played?
- Halcones Negros vs Guerreros is played on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsAtlético Saltillo
- Mar 6, 2027CiervosvsAcatlan
- Mar 6, 2027Artesanos MetepecvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Mar 6, 2027Real RefinerosvsFC Santiago
- Mar 7, 2027Calor de San PedrovsMineros de Fresnillo
- Mar 7, 2027Dragones de OaxacavsHéroes de Zaci
- Mar 7, 2027Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsVaqueros Reynosa
- Mar 7, 2027AcambarovsCorrecaminos UAT II