Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 25Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Real Apodaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dragones de Oaxaca wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Apodaca?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Dragones de Oaxaca (1,881) and Real Apodaca (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Apodaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dragones de Oaxaca
Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.
Real Apodaca
Not enough data to predict the Real Apodaca lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragones de Oaxaca have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Real Apodaca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Refineros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acatlan(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Dragones de Oaxaca score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Apodaca score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Apodaca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (18 points from 7 matches) and Real Apodaca sit 9th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Apodaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Apodaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Real Apodaca.
- Where and when is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Apodaca played?
- Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Apodaca is played on March 21, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsGuerreros
- Mar 20, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Mar 20, 2027CiervosvsAtlético Saltillo
- Mar 20, 2027Real RefinerosvsAcatlan
- Mar 20, 2027Artesanos MetepecvsVaqueros Reynosa
- Mar 21, 2027Calor de San PedrovsHéroes de Zaci
- Mar 21, 2027Halcones NegrosvsFC Santiago
- Mar 21, 2027Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsCorrecaminos UAT II