Match

Real Refineros vs Acatlan: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)

Real RefinerosAcatlan

The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Refineros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Refineros vs Acatlan?

On Elo ratings, Real Refineros has 1,802 points and Acatlan 1,766.

53%22%25%
Real Refineros winDrawAcatlan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Refineros vs Acatlan

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Refineros

Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.

Acatlan

Not enough data to predict the Acatlan lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:25 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 1 win, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Acatlan have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Refineros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Halcones Negros(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026Ciervos(home)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Calor de San Pedro(home)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Acatlan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 1, 2026Héroes de Zaci(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026FC Santiago(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Real Apodaca(home)4-1Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Real Refineros score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 7; Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Refineros1.41.924/74/7
Acatlan1.72.147/1511/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Refineros sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (7 points from 7 matches) and Acatlan sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Acatlan7412121013
8Real Refineros721411137

A question about Real Refineros vs Acatlan?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs Acatlan?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Real Refineros vs Acatlan played?
Real Refineros vs Acatlan is played on March 20, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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