Dreams vs Samartex: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dawu Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Dreams the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Samartex. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dreams vs Samartex?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Dreams (1,663) and Samartex (1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dreams have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Samartex have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Nations(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Berekum Chelsea(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bechem United(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dreams win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Samartex win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Samartex 0-0 Dreams | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Dreams 2-0 Samartex | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Samartex 1-1 Dreams | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Dreams 0-0 Samartex | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Dreams 2-2 Samartex | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Samartex 2-0 Dreams | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dreams score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreams | 1.9 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Samartex | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dreams sit 4th in Premier League (52 points from 34 matches) and Samartex sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dreams | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49 | 32 | 52 |
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dreams vs Samartex?
- The Footlab model makes Dreams the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Samartex.
- Where and when is Dreams vs Samartex played?
- Dreams vs Samartex is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dawu Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Bechem UnitedvsAsante Kotoko
- Nov 21, 2026Berekum ChelseavsYoung Apostles
- Nov 21, 2026Hearts of OakvsAduana Stars
- Nov 21, 2026KarelavsBasake Holy Stars
- Nov 21, 2026MedeamavsAshanti Gold
- Nov 21, 2026Bibiani Gold StarsvsSwedru All Blacks
- Nov 21, 2026VisionvsDebibi United
- Nov 21, 2026Port CityvsHeart of Lions