Duhok vs Diyala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dohuk Stadium, Dohuk
The Footlab AI model makes Duhok the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Diyala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Duhok wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Duhok vs Diyala?
On Elo ratings, Duhok has 1,551 points and Diyala 1,470.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Duhok vs Diyala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Duhok
Not enough data to predict the Duhok lineup.
Diyala
Not enough data to predict the Diyala lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duhok have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Diyala have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Naft(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Duhok wins, 0 draws, 2 Diyala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Diyala 1-0 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Duhok 1-0 Diyala | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Diyala 2-1 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Duhok 3-1 Diyala | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Duhok score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Diyala score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duhok | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Diyala | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Duhok sit 7th in Iraqi League (12 points from 9 matches) and Diyala sit 11th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Duhok vs Diyala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Duhok vs Diyala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Duhok the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Diyala.
- Where and when is Duhok vs Diyala played?
- Duhok vs Diyala is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dohuk Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.