Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al-Karma: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueMatchday 15Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Ghaz Al Shamal. The most likely score is 0-0. If Al-Karma wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 6,369 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al-Karma?
Al-Karma starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al-Karma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ghaz Al Shamal
Not enough data to predict the Ghaz Al Shamal lineup.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Ghaz Al Shamal have 3 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Karma have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 4-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ghaz Al Shamal score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 13; Al-Karma score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghaz Al Shamal | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/13 | 1/13 |
| Al-Karma | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghaz Al Shamal sit 10th in Iraqi League (16 points from 13 matches) and Al-Karma sit 1st (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 30 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
A question about Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al-Karma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al-Karma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Ghaz Al Shamal.
- Where and when is Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al-Karma played?
- Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al-Karma is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.