Dundalk vs Waterford: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 29, 2021 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Oriel Park, Dundalk
Full time
What was the result of Dundalk vs Waterford?
Dundalk won 1-0 on October 29, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′D. KellyDundalk
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundalk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Waterford have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 22, 2021 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 1-3 | FAI Cup |
| Oct 15, 2021 | Bohemians(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Finn Harps(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | Bohemians(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Bohemians(away) | 0-1 | FAI Cup |
| Oct 15, 2021 | Finn Harps(home) | 4-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Drogheda United(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dundalk win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Waterford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2021 | Waterford 1-1 Dundalk | Premier Division |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Dundalk 1-3 Waterford | Premier Division |
| Apr 30, 2021 | Waterford 0-3 Dundalk | Premier Division |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Waterford 1-0 Dundalk | Premier Division |
| Aug 14, 2020 | Dundalk 2-2 Waterford | Premier Division |
| Aug 11, 2020 | Dundalk 1-0 Waterford | FAI Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Dundalk score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Waterford score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Waterford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundalk sit 4th in Premier Division (37 points from 28 matches) and Waterford sit 8th (29 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dundalk | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 35 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 43 | 37 |
| 8 | Waterford | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 48 | 29 |
| 10 | Waterford | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 42 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy