Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tannadice Park, Dundee
The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Aberdeen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dundee Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Dundee Utd (1,862) and Aberdeen (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dundee Utd
4-3-3- 77D. Bennie
- 7M. Merghem
- 21J. Randall
- 10D. Tait
- 16L. Cameron
- 8Panutche Camará
- 18M. Forbes
- 3B. Esselink
- 23J. Rawlins
- 19K. Ciubotaru
- 1J. Walton
Aberdeen
3-5-2- 15K. Nisbet
- 20T. Olusanya
- 32A. Aremu
- 25C. Ronan
- 40F. Marshall
- 7Tony Yogane
- 17S. Armstrong
- 28C. Cadden
- 24N. Guinness-Walker
- 21G. Molloy
- 27M. Müller
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee Utd have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Aberdeen have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dundee Utd wins, 3 draws, 1 Aberdeen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Aberdeen 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Dundee Utd 0-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dundee Utd 2-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| May 17, 2025 | Dundee Utd 2-1 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Aberdeen 2-2 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aberdeen score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Aberdeen | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee Utd sit 8th in Premiership (8 points from 7 matches) and Aberdeen sit 7th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Aberdeen.
- Where and when is Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen played?
- Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tannadice Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.