ST Mirren vs Dundee: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
The Footlab AI model makes ST Mirren the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Dundee. The most likely score is 1-1. If ST Mirren wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates ST Mirren (1,852) and Dundee (1,851).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ST Mirren vs Dundee
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 25N. Agrafiotis
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 30F. Taylor
- 48P. Nsio
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 47C. Ramsay
- 1J. Chapman
Dundee
4-4-2- 19J. Westley
- 21B. Fink
- 48E. Hamilton
- 14A. Forrest
- 8R. Finnigan
- 28C. Jones
- 4R. Astley
- 5O. Bevan
- 7D. Wright
- 12I. Samuels
- 1O. Goodman
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ST Mirren have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dundee have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 3-3 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ST Mirren win, 1 draw, 4 Dundee wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Dundee 1-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | ST Mirren 0-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Dundee 3-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Sep 27, 2025 | ST Mirren 1-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Dundee 2-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Dec 29, 2024 | ST Mirren 1-2 Dundee | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
ST Mirren score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Mirren | 1.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Dundee | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ST Mirren sit 5th in Premiership (10 points from 7 matches) and Dundee sit 4th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
A question about ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ST Mirren vs Dundee?
- The Footlab AI model makes ST Mirren the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Dundee.
- Where and when is ST Mirren vs Dundee played?
- ST Mirren vs Dundee is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The SMISA Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.