Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tannadice Park, Dundee
The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for ST Johnstone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dundee Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Dundee Utd (1,884) and ST Johnstone (1,931).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dundee Utd
4-3-3- 77D. Bennie
- 21J. Randall
- 93I. Metsoko
- 10D. Tait
- 16L. Cameron
- 14Zidane Iqbal
- 18M. Forbes
- 3B. Esselink
- 23J. Rawlins
- 19K. Ciubotaru
- 1J. Walton
ST Johnstone
3-4-2-1- 9J. Fowler
- 8J. Holt
- 42R. McAlear
- 11S. Stanton
- 26M. Todd
- 99R. Paton
- 7T. Steven
- 33L. Smith
- 19D. Finlayson
- 3C. Diabate
- 1T. Steward
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee Utd have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; ST Johnstone have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dundee Utd wins, 0 draws, 2 ST Johnstone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Dundee Utd 1-0 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
| Dec 26, 2024 | ST Johnstone 1-2 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Dundee Utd 2-0 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
| May 6, 2023 | ST Johnstone 1-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Dundee Utd 1-2 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
| Jan 2, 2023 | ST Johnstone 0-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ST Johnstone score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| ST Johnstone | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee Utd sit 6th in Premiership (11 points from 8 matches) and ST Johnstone sit 5th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ST Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for ST Johnstone.
- Where and when is Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone played?
- Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tannadice Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.