Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Falkirk Community Stadium, Falkirk
The Footlab AI model makes Falkirk the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Kilmarnock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Falkirk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Falkirk (1,884) and Kilmarnock (1,862).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Falkirk
4-2-3-1- 24J. Murrell
- 23E. Ross
- 16Finley Frank Barbrook
- 8B. Spencer
- 28B. Krauhaus
- 42Owen Eames
- 5L. Henderson
- 22R. Strain
- 3L. McCann
- 15L. Neilson
- 19S. Bain
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1- 9J. Hugill
- 18T. Lowery
- 11G. Kiltie
- 8E. Ring
- 10T. John-Jules
- 36A. Tshibola
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 12C. Ferrie
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falkirk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kilmarnock have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Falkirk wins, 0 draws, 2 Kilmarnock wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Falkirk 5-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Kilmarnock 0-1 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Falkirk 3-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Jun 24, 2022 | Falkirk 1-4 Kilmarnock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Kilmarnock 3-1 Falkirk | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Falkirk 3-0 Kilmarnock | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Falkirk vs Kilmarnock on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Falkirk score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Falkirk sit 11th in Premiership (6 points from 8 matches) and Kilmarnock sit 12th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
- The Footlab AI model makes Falkirk the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Kilmarnock.
- Where and when is Falkirk vs Kilmarnock played?
- Falkirk vs Kilmarnock is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Falkirk Community Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.