Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tannadice Park, Dundee
The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kilmarnock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dundee Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
On Elo ratings, Dundee Utd has 1,840 points and Kilmarnock 1,818.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dundee Utd
4-3-3- 77D. Bennie
- 21J. Randall
- 93I. Metsoko
- 10D. Tait
- 16L. Cameron
- 14Zidane Iqbal
- 18M. Forbes
- 3B. Esselink
- 23J. Rawlins
- 19K. Ciubotaru
- 1J. Walton
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1- 9J. Hugill
- 18T. Lowery
- 11G. Kiltie
- 8E. Ring
- 10T. John-Jules
- 36A. Tshibola
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 12C. Ferrie
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee Utd have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kilmarnock have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dundee Utd win, 2 draws, 3 Kilmarnock wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kilmarnock 0-4 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| May 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock 3-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Dundee Utd 1-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dundee Utd 0-2 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Kilmarnock 2-1 Dundee Utd | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee Utd sit 6th in Premiership (11 points from 8 matches) and Kilmarnock sit 12th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kilmarnock.
- Where and when is Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock played?
- Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tannadice Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.