Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tannadice Park, Dundee
The Footlab model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Kilmarnock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Dundee Utd (1,841) and Kilmarnock (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee Utd have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kilmarnock have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-4 | Premiership |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-5 | Premiership |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 3-4 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dundee Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Kilmarnock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock 3-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Dundee Utd 1-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dundee Utd 0-2 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Kilmarnock 2-1 Dundee Utd | League Cup |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 2.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee Utd sit 11th in Premiership (1 points from 3 matches) and Kilmarnock sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
- The Footlab model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Kilmarnock.
- Where and when is Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock played?
- Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tannadice Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.