Hibernian vs ST Johnstone: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Easter Road Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Hibernian the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for ST Johnstone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hibernian wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernian vs ST Johnstone?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Hibernian (1,894) and ST Johnstone (1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hibernian vs ST Johnstone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hibernian
5-4-1- 23C. Wright
- 8J. Mulligan
- 14M. Chaiwa
- 7O. Elding
- 18T. Klidje
- 6J. Kerr
- 25F. Passlack
- 15J. Iredale
- 22A. Šuto
- 5M. Ivezić
- 1R. Sallinger
ST Johnstone
3-4-2-1- 9J. Fowler
- 8J. Holt
- 42R. McAlear
- 11S. Stanton
- 26M. Todd
- 99R. Paton
- 7T. Steven
- 33L. Smith
- 19D. Finlayson
- 3C. Diabate
- 1T. Steward
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernian have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; ST Johnstone have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hibernian wins, 1 draw, 2 ST Johnstone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | ST Johnstone 2-1 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Hibernian 3-0 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
| Jan 2, 2025 | ST Johnstone 1-1 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Hibernian 2-0 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
| Apr 27, 2024 | ST Johnstone 1-3 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Hibernian 1-2 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: ST Johnstone vs Hibernian on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernian score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ST Johnstone score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| ST Johnstone | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hibernian sit 10th in Premiership (7 points from 8 matches) and ST Johnstone sit 5th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ST Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Hibernian vs ST Johnstone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs ST Johnstone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hibernian the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for ST Johnstone.
- Where and when is Hibernian vs ST Johnstone played?
- Hibernian vs ST Johnstone is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Easter Road Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.